| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 63-69 | 71-60 |
| Spread | -1.5 149 | +1.5 -181 |
| Moneyline | -111 | -108 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-114) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Monday, August 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 63-69 on the year and play the Giants and Cardinals next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .254 on the season, with a .331 OBP and a .407 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 142 hits and 55 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Brandon Lowe have combined for 250 hits and 146 RBI.
Braxton Ashcraft gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 13-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 159 strikeouts this season. This will be Ashcraft’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 71-60 on the year and play the Reds and Rays next. The San Diego Padres are batting .239 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .391 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 146 hits and 67 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 222 hits and 138 RBI.
Robbie Ray gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 11-7 with a 3.20 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Ray is 3-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last eight games at Petco Park.
- The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Petco Park.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Petco Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Petco Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won nine of their last 11 night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have lost four of their last five night games against the Pirates at Petco Park following a home win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Petco Park following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Pirates at Petco Park following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Padres’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Pirates’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Robbie Ray’s last seven home appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Pirates’ last seven games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games at Petco Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Robbie Ray has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances at Petco Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ty France has recorded two hits in each of the Padres’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
- Robbie Ray has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 7th in the league in Steals (29) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances in night games.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
- Braxton Ashcraft ranks T5th in the league for Wins (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 24th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.391).
- The Padres rank 7th in the league for steals this season (125).
- The Pirates rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (653).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (623).
Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Ashcraft has been respectable this season and gives the Pirates a fighting chance night to night, but we’re getting a pick-em price with the Padres at home. The Padres are in the thick of the playoff race and have played some of their best ball over the last few weeks. Ray has also been fantastic since June and was brought over from San Francisco to help get the Padres over the hump. This cheap price is honestly surprising. I’ll gladly take the Padres in this spot at this price point. This line is nuts.