Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 9/28/24

In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 28th at Yankee Stadium in New York. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

• The Pirates recent form and recent player performance 
• The Yankees recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Pittsburgh and New York
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Pittsburgh and New York

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 75-85 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Pittsburgh won game one in this series by a score of 4-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Brewers, lost two out of three against the Reds, and lost three out of four against the Cardinals. Pittsburgh is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 652 runs with a .235 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .276 with 24 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 93-67 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. New York dropped the first game in this series and only scored two runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Orioles, swept the Athletics, and won two out of three against the Mariners. New York is 4-4 in their last eight games and they have clinched the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 805 runs with a .249 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .325 with 58 home runs and 144 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 11-3 with a 1.99 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 131.0 innings pitched this year. Skenes has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last four starts (22.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 15-6 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 146.0 innings pitched this season. Gil has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost each of their last five games following a win.
• The Yankees have won six of their last seven day games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Pirates’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 home games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 Saturday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Pirates’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
• Joey Bart has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees Prediction 

New York lost the first game in this series and lost two out of three against Baltimore before this series, but they have locked up the AL East and are playing for seeding now. The Yankees are 43-36 at home this year, while the Pirates are 36-43 on the road. Pittsburgh is starting Paul Skenes, who has been absolutely fantastic since being called up. New York will answer with Luis Gil, who has also had a very nice season. I don’t love going against Skenes, but Gil has been more than serviceable and I will back New York at home. 

David Racey's Pick: Yankees ML