Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-28 on the year and play the Phillies, Reds, and Brewers next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .220 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .326 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 39 hits and 15 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have combined for 65 hits and 38 RBI. 

Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-4 with a 4.40 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Keller is 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 27-15 on the year and play the Yankees, Red Sox, and Dodgers next. The New York Mets are batting .255 on the season, have a .334 OBP, and a .433 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.85 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 51 hits and 26 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have combined for 88 hits and 56 RBI.

Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 4-2 with a 1.16 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Senga’s second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last six games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have won 19 of the last 20 games between the Pirates and Mets.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday home games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night home games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in 15 of their last 20 games against the Pirates at Citi Field.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games following a home win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances at Citi Field.
• Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances.
• Nick Madrigal has recorded a Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Tyrone Taylor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three home games against the Pirates.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six games against the Mets at Citi Field.
• Mitch Keller has recorded six strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 13 appearances in night games.
• Mitch Keller has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against the Mets.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction

The Pirates just can’t get out of their own way as they’ve won just three games since April 26. The Pirates have lost five straight games Keller has pitched, and he’s allowed 15 hits and seven earned runs in his last 11 innings. There’s not much to get excited about when it comes to the Pirates. The Mets continue to play winning baseball, and Senga looks like somebody who should be in the CY Young conversation. In 38.2 innings, Senga has allowed 28 hits and five earned runs. In 14.2 home innings, Senga has a .250 allowed batting average and a 0.61 ERA. The Mets have to be the play in this spot, and of course, I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets -1.5