Pittsburgh (38-58) vs Minnesota (47-48)
July 13, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota -1.5 — Over/Under: +9
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 38-58 on the year and play the White Sox, Tigers, and Diamondbacks next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .229 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .339 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 79 hits and 46 RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 152 hits and 62 RBI.
Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 3-10 with a 3.58 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Keller is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 47-48 on the year and play the Rockies, Dodgers, and Nationals next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .241 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 84 hits and 55 RBI while Trevor Larnach and Ty France have combined for 161 hits and 84 RBI.
Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 5-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods Richardson’s second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
The home team has won 17 of the Pirates’ last 18 games.
The Pirates have lost each of their last eight games.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The favorites have covered the run line in three of the Twins’ last four games.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
The Twins have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Pirates following a win.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a win.
The underdogs have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Pirates and Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Byron Buxton has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Target Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents.
Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL opponents.
Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Keller has been strong for the Pirates this season, but it hasn’t led to many wins due to a lack of run support. He’s likely to experience more of the same, considering the Pirates still can’t score and haven’t won a game since July 2. The Twins are having a nice week and Woods Richardson has allowed six hits and one run in his last 15 innings. Allowing one or fewer runs in four of his last five starts, this is possibly the best stretch of Woods Richardson’s career. Backing the Pirates isn’t an option. Give me the Twins for another win heading into the break.