| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 57-58 | 70-43 |
| Spread | +1.5 -199 | -1.5 163 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (102) | Under 7.5 (-123) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 57-58 on the year and play the Mets and Marlins next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .257 on the season, with a .334 OBP and a .414 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 127 hits and 50 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Brandon Lowe have combined for 221 hits and 134 RBI.
Paul Skenes gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 9-9 with a 3.90 ERA and 156 strikeouts this season. Skenes is 3-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-43 on the year and play the Padres and Twins next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .254 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 112 hits and 69 RBI, while William Contreras and Jake Bauers have combined for 202 hits and 121 RBI.
Kyle Harrison gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 8-2 with a 3.01 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Harrison is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last five games against the Pirates following a home win.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Pirates following a home win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games at American Family Field.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Brewers’ last nine night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last four night games at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games at American Family Field.
- Jake Bauers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Harrison has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Harrison has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Jake Mangum has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine night games.
- Paul Skenes has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Endy Rodriguez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at American Family Field.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 5th in the league in Hits (127) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.48).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1094).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (582).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (557).
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Brewers should be favored as they’re the better team playing the better ball, and Harrison has more than held his own this season. However, we’re getting Skenes at plus money, and I can’t turn that down. Skenes has been more hittable than he’s been in his first two seasons, and he’s coming off a rough July, but he’s still one of the top arms in the sport and not a guy you get as a dog often. In 71 at-bats against current Brewers, Skenes is allowing a .183 batting average, a .237 on-base percentage, and has 23 strikeouts. I’ll grab the more favorable prices with an elite arm.