Pittsburgh (51-70) vs Milwaukee (75-44)
August 13, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee -1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-70 on the year and play the Cubs, Blue Jays, and Rockies next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .232 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and a .344 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 108 hits and 56 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 185 hits and 72 RBI.
Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 5-10 with a 3.86 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. Keller is 1-5 with a 4.99 ERA and 60 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers. This weekend the Pirates will have a big series against the Chicago Cubs.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 75-44 on the year and play the Reds, Cubs, and Giants next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .259 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 123 hits and 67 RBI while Brice Turang and Christian Yelich have combined for 232 hits and 134 RBI.
Brandon Woodruff gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 4-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 7-3 with a 3.40 ERA and 103 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at American Family Field.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four Wednesday day games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded nine or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Brice Turang has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five games as home favorites.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in five of his last 14 road appearances with the Pirates against NL opponents.
- Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against the Brewers.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against the Brewers.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Pirates continue to rack up the losses, and they’ve scored three or fewer runs in six of their last eight games. So, while Keller has had a respectable season, it doesn’t matter if the Pirates can’t string together offense. The Brewers still haven’t lost a game this month, and Woodruff has been dealing through 35.1 innings. Woodruff has allowed nine runs in those frames while striking out 45. We have to ride the hot hand. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.