Pirates vs Reds Prediction 8/2/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 2nd at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-56 this year after they lost two of the first three games by scores of 2-3, 7-8, and 4-1. In game three, Pittsburgh scored three runs in the third inning and added a fourth in the sixth in the win. The Pirates recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Davis, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Ashcraft allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Soto picked up the save. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 576 runs with a .259 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 23 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 6-7 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 113.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 52-58 this season after they lost game three by a score of 1-4 on Saturday night. Cincinnati cut the deficit to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Reds recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Trevino, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Abbott allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while McCambley allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Guardians, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 452 runs with a .230 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 23 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 18 home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 12-1 with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 112.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won 19 of their last 21 day games following a home loss.
• The Pirates have lost four of their last five games following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Pirates’ last five games.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a road win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against the Pirates following a loss.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Reds’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Pirates’ last six day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Pirates’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Sal Stewart has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four day games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Mitch Keller has recorded four or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Mitch Keller has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Nick Gonzales has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 games as road underdogs.

Pirates vs Reds Prediction 

Pittsburgh was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Saturday night, which brought their record back up to .500. The Pirates are 27-28 on the road this year, while the Reds are 25-31 at home. Cincinnati has won three of their last five games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Keller has allowed 2, 0, 3, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Reds here.

David Racey's Pick: Reds ML