Pirates vs Cubs Prediction 4/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 11th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 8-5 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 2-0 on Friday afternoon. Pittsburgh didn’t generate much on offense, but they scored two runs in the seventh inning in the shutout win. The Pirates recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Reynolds, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Mlodzinski allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Montgomery picked up the win and Santana got the save. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Padres, but did sweep the Orioles in three games before that. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 3.08 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they have scored 56 runs with a .235 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz has led the Pirates with four home runs and 12 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added three home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Braxton Ashcraft, who is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 6-7 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-0 to start this series. Chicago had plenty of baserunners in this game, but couldn’t find a timely hit in the tough loss. The Cubs recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Happ, who went 2-3 with one walk. Imanaga allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Thielbar picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Guardians before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 3.32 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .203 opponent batting average, while they have scored 56 runs with a .220 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Ian Happ has led the Cubs with four home runs and seven RBIs, while Nico Hoerner has added one home run and nine RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Edward Cabrera, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.69 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last 10 Saturday day games at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have won each of their last seven home games following a home loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six home games following a home loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Cubs’ last three games.
• The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in 15 of their last 17 road games against the Cubs.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Pirates’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances at Wrigley Field.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last three games against NL Central opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven day games.

Pirates vs Cubs Prediction 

Pittsburgh was able to steal game one in this series on Friday afternoon and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three of their last five games. The Pirates are 4-3 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 3-4 at home. Chicago has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed two runs in each of their last three. Both starting pitchers have been very good to start the season, but Cabrera has been almost untouchable. Take the Cubs at home.

David Racey's Pick: Cubs ML