Pirates vs Brewers Prediction 8/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 3rd at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-57 this season after they lost three out of four against the Reds by scores of 2-3, 7-8, 4-1, and 2-10. In game four, Pittsburgh allowed the first seven runs in the game and never had a chance in the ugly loss. The Pirates recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Triolo, who went 1-1 with one RBI. Keller allowed six hits and seven earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while Doval allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 578 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 23 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bubba Chandler, who is 3-8 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this season. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-42 this year after they won two out of three against the Angels by scores of 6-2, 3-1, and 0-3. In game three, Milwaukee allowed two runs in the second inning and one in the eighth in the shutout loss. The Brewers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Chourio, who went 2-3 with one walk. Misiorowski allowed two hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Hall threw an inning in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee lost two out of three against the Giants, but did win two out of three against the Rockies before that. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.48 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 555 runs with a .253 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 20 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Sproat, who is 3-6 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 92.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six Monday home games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won four of their last five games as road underdogs following a road loss.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last three games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Pirates following a road loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Bubba Chandler’s last four road appearances as a starter.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Sproat has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances at American Family Field.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Nick Gonzales has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 12 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Gonzales ranks 5th in the league in Hits (127) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.48).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1081).
• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (578).
• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (553).

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

Pittsburgh limps into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have allowed 8+ runs in two of their last three. The Pirates are 27-29 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 36-20 at home. Milwaukee has won three of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of those five. The Brewers are starting Sproat, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Chandler has allowed 3, 0, 2, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the over here, as I don’t love either starter.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5