Philadelphia (59-44) vs New York (56-47)
July 26, 2025 at 01:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5
In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 26th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 59-44 this year after they won game one by a score of 12-5 on Friday night. Philadelphia trailed 2-0 in the second and 3-2 in the sixth, but they scored 10 runs over the final three innings for the victory. The Phillies recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Schwarber, who went 3-5 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Walker, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Banks picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Red Sox, but lost two out of three against the Angels before that. Philadelphia has won three of their last four games and they are currently battling the Mets in the NL East. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 481 runs with a .255 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 36 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 13 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 7-4 with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this year.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 56-47 this season after they lost game one in blowout fashion on Friday. New York led 2-0 after the second inning, but their bullpen fell apart in the ugly loss. The Yankees recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Bellinger, Stanton, Wells, and Volpe, who all had solo home runs in the loss. New York started Warren, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Hill picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. New York has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 535 runs with a .254 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 37 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 19 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Marcus Stroman, who is 2-1 with a 5.64 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Yankees will beat the Phillies
- The underdogs have won each of the Yankees’ last five games.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Yankees.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
Phillies vs Yankees Prediction
Philadelphia was able to pick up a huge win to start this series on Friday night and they have scored 20 runs in their last two games. The Phillies are 26-25 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 30-20 at home. New York has allowed 20 runs in their last two games and they are starting Stroman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Philadelphia is going with Suarez, who has allowed nine earned runs and 16 hits in his last 11.0 innings of work. I don’t like what I have seen from Suarez in his last two starts, so take the Yankees here.