Phillies vs Tigers Prediction 7/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 11th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-43 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-10 on Friday night. Philadelphia tied the game at two in the fourth inning, but they failed to score any more runs in the loss. The Phillies recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hill, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Nola allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Mayza allowed four earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Royals before that. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 415 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 32 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 20 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 10-4 with a 2.62 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 120.1 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 44-50 this year after they won game one by a score of 10-2 last night. Detroit blew a 2-1 lead in the fourth inning, but they scored the last eight runs for the blowout win. The Tigers recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Outman, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Flaherty allowed two hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Brieske threw two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit swept the Athletics in three games and won two out of three against the Rangers. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 405 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 13 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 4-5 with a 2.64 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 71.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won nine of their last 10 games.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won 13 of their last 14 games following a road loss.
• The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday road games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Phillies’ last five games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Tigers’ last nine games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last four games as home underdogs.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Casey Mize has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Comerica Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances at Comerica Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Derek Hill has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against former teams.
• Derek Hill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against former teams.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Phillies vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit was able to continue their winning streak with a win on Friday in game one and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four straight games. The Tigers are 27-21 at home this year, while the Phillies are 27-22 on the road. Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three straight road starts, while Mize has allowed two earned runs in his last 13.2 innings. Take the Tigers to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML