| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 69-49 | 62-58 |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Tuesday, August 12, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | FanDuel SN OH | |
In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 12th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-49 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 4-1 on Monday night. Philadelphia trailed 1-0 late in the game, but they scored four runs in the eighth to escape with the victory. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Schwarber, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Walker, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Romano got the win and Kerkering picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Phillies won all three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Orioles. Philadelphia has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 555 runs with a .255 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 42 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 15 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 8-5 with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 107.0 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 62-58 this year after they lost game one in this series on Monday night. Cincinnati led 1-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Reds recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lux, who went 3-4 with one RBI in the loss. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 7.2 innings for the loss, while Santillan allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Reds split four games with the Pirates and won two out of three against the Cubs. Cincinnati has lost four of their last six games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 540 runs with a .246 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 14 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 9-9 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 119.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Reds will beat the Phillies
- The Reds have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Reds following a road win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday night games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games at Great American Ball Park against National League opponents.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Phillies’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Reds’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Phillies’ last 15 games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Phillies and Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Brady Singer has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances at Great American Ball Park.
- Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in four of his nine previous appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five road appearances against the Reds.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Reds.
Phillies vs Reds Prediction
Philadelphia was able to have a huge eighth inning on Monday night to extend their winning streak and they are up six games on the Mets in the East. The Phillies are 32-28 on the road this season, while the Reds are 33-27 at home. Cincinnati is trying to make a push in the wild card race, but they are in danger of dropping to fourth in the NL Central. The Reds are starting Singer, who has allowed 4, 0, 1, and 7 earned runs in his last four outings. The Phillies are going with Suarez, who has allowed 5, 3, 1, and 6 earned runs in his last four starts. Neither pitcher is playing very well right now and I think the Reds are worth a look at this price.