| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 42-36 | 41-38 |
| Spread | -1.5 -104 | +1.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -173 | +143 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-118) | Under 8.5 (-102) |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 23rd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-36 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-4 on Monday night. Philadelphia cut the deficit to 2-1 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t find anymore runs for the loss. The Phillies recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Marsh, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Mayza allowed two hits and one earned run over 1.0 inning for the loss, while Johnson allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the Marlins.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 330 runs with a .231 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 29 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 6-4 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 85.2 innings pitched this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 41-38 this year after they won game one by a score of 4-1 last night. Washington scored two runs in the first two innings and they added two more in the seventh in the win. The Nationals recorded 12 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Mead, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Griffin allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.1 innings for the win, while Beeter picked up the save. Prior to this series, Washington lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that.
This season, Washington has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 420 runs with a .248 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 6-6 with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 71.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six games at Nationals Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have won three of their last four games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 17 of their last 19 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Nationals Park.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games following a road loss.
- The Nationals have lost five of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a road loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games against the Phillies at Nationals Park following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Phillies’ last 12 road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances against the Phillies.
- James Wood ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as favorites.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Nationals.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.594) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.423).
- The Nationals rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (80).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (102).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
Washington was able to get the win on Monday in game one, but they trail Philadelphia by 1.5 games in the NL East. The Nationals are 17-22 at home this year, while the Phillies are 19-17 on the road. Philadelphia has dropped three of their last five games, but they have scored 30 runs in those five. The Phillies are starting Luzardo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Littell has allowed nine earned runs in his last 6.2 innings. Take the Phillies -1.5 here.