Phillies vs Mets Prediction 8/27/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 27th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-56 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 3-13 and 5-6. In their game two loss, Philadelphia led 2-0 in the fifth inning, but they needed a run in the eighth for the tie, before losing in the ninth. The Phillies recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bader and Harper, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Philadelphia started Luzardo, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Duran picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Nationals and all three against the Mariners. Philadelphia has lost three of their last five games and they are currently leading the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 625 runs with a .257 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 45 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 4-6 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 96.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 71-61 this season after they won game two in this series by a score of 6-5 on Tuesday night. New York blew a 5-3 lead late in the game, but they won on a walk-off single in the ninth. The Mets recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Alonso and Nimmo, who both had two RBIs in the win. New York started Manaea, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Diaz got the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Braves, but lost two out of three against the Nationals before that. New York has won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 612 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 29 home runs and 105 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 32 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP over 12.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Phillies 

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last seven night games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last two games as home favorites.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in 26 of his last 27 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games as underdogs against NL opponents.

David Racey is 13-4 (76%) in the MLB over the last three days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Phillies vs Mets Prediction 

New York has won the first two games in this series and they have scored at least six runs in four of their last five. The Mets are 43-24 at home this year, while the Phillies are 34-34 on the road. Philadelphia has watched their lead in the division shrink to five games and they are starting Walker, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. New York is going with McLean, who has allowed two earned runs over 12.1 innings in two starts. I really like what we are seeing from McLean and this Mets team is rolling, so take them to win again.