Washington Nationals (0-2) vs Philadelphia Phillies (2-0)
Game Info: Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 1:35 pm (Nationals Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +136 / Philadelphia Phillies -162 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola here and Nola was 14-8 with a 3.57 ERA and 197 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Nola is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA and 26 strikeouts. Mitchell Parker will get the start for the Nationals here and was 7-10 with a 4.29 ERA and 133 strikeouts last season. This will be Parker’s second career start against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies will be out to complete the sweep of the Nationals after picking up the series win with an 11-6 win over the Nationals on Saturday. After this series, the Phillies will head home for their opening series against the Colorado Rockies.
Phillies Looking To Start Year With Sweep
Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 4 hits including a pair of home runs and 4 RBIs while Brandon Marsh has 3 hits with a home run and three RBIs. Bryson Stoyy and Alec Bohm each have a double and two RBIs with Bohm logging a team-high 4 hits of his own while J.T. Realmuto has a pair of RBIs as well on the year.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last six day games at Nationals Park following a loss.
- The Phillies have won four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games following a home loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last three games at Nationals Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four day games.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies’ last five day games.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous Sunday appearances at Nationals Park.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (2) this season.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game to salvage something from this series after ending up with the loss in Saturday’s matchup. After this series, the Nationals will head on the road for a series with the Toronto Blue Jays.
Nationals Looking To Avoid The Sweep
Keibert Ruiz has a team-high 3 RBIs along with 2 home runs and a double while Nathaniel Lowe also has a home run and 3 RBIs of his own as well this season. Amed Rosario’s added 3 hits as well while Lowe, Dylan Crews and Paul DeJong each have a team-high 5 strikeouts up to this point in the year.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Nationals have won seven of their last nine Sunday day games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Luis Garcia has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.571) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Prediction
I’m on the Phillies in this one. I get the allure of backing a home underdog and I’m sure the Nationals don’t want to get off to an 0-3 start to the year, but I’m not all that high on this Nationals lineup as it still feels like they’re a bit too young and are probably a year away from being a year away. There were also spots where Parker got hit hard last year and he got hit exceptionally hard against the Phillies in his lone start against them. The Phillies have had a tremendous amount of success in Nola’s starts against the Nationals over the years and I think the bats have gotten off to a strong start enough so to back him here to keep that dominance going. Give me the Phillies in this one.