Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 16th at the Nationals Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 49-73 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL East. The Nationals have a 23-37 home record and are 63-53 in over/under. They are coming off 2-6 home defeat by the Phillies, which ended their previous two-game winning streak. Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games, and are playing the Mets and the Phillies next.

The Nationals have a .244 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. James Wood leads the Nationals with 118 hits, adding a team-high 78 RBI and leads the team in home runs, with 25. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average.

Cade Cavalli (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 0-0 record, 3.86 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 70-52 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL East. They have a 33-31 road record, and are 51-64 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-2 road victory over the Nationals, which ended their previous three-game losing streak. Under is 7-1-2 in their last 10 games and are playing the Mariners and the Nationals next.

The Phillies have a .253 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .414 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 142 hits and in batting average with .286, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 101 RBI and a team-high 43 home runs.

Taijuan Walker (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 4-5 record, 3.39 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Phillies’ last five games.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games following a home loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine home day games.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last four day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Fourteen of the Phillies’ last 18 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight Saturday games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Phillies’ last 11 day games at Nationals Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.33).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.271).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1107).
• The Phillies rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (330).

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

The Phillies are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Nationals, and are 5-3 in their 8 meetings this season. The Phillies are 4-2 in their last 6 visits in Washington, and over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -150 road favorites. Walker has been much better this season for the Phillies, after an atrocious last season, and he has been excellent on the road, with a 2.61 road ERA. He is also coming into this matchup in amazing form, with just one earned run in 12 innings pitched across his last two starts against the Reds and the Orioles. The Nats have the worst bullpen ERA in the whole league, while the Phillies have a better offense, so this is a Phillies spot. Take the Philadelphia Phillies to get the job done on the road today.