Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/14/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at the Nationals Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 48-72 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL East. The Nationals have a 22-36 home record and are 63-52 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-7 road victory over the Royals, which ended their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 3 in their last 3 games, and are playing the Mets and the Phillies next. The Nationals sit in last place in the National League East standings.

The Nationals have a .244 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.36 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. James Wood leads the Nationals with 117 hits, adding a team-high 78 RBI and leads the team in home runs, with 25. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average.

Brad Lord (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 3-6 record, 3.28 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 69-51 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL East. They have a 32-30 road record, and are 51-63 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-8 road defeat by the Reds, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games and are playing the Mariners and the Nationals next.

The Phillies have a .253 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .415 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 137 hits and in batting average with .281, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 97 RBI and a team-high 42 home runs.

Jesus Luzardo (L) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 11-5 record, 4.20 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Phillies’ last five games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Nationals Park against NL East opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Thursday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Phillies’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Phillies and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.36).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.271).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1089).
• The Phillies rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (324).

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

The Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Nationals, and are 4-2 in their 6 meetings this season. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -210 road favorites. This is too big of a price to lay on the Phillies on the road, with an unstable Luzardo on the mound. Brad Lord has been very good for the Nationals lately, as he has just one earned run in three of his last four starts, and he faces a Phillies team that are playing their third straight series on the road. Both pitchers gave up 2 runs in their previous start against the other team this season, so I will take a stab with the big home dog and the big plus money in this one, so I will take the Nationals on the moneyline.