| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 43-36 | 41-39 |
| Spread | -1.5 119 | +1.5 -144 |
| Moneyline | -136 | +113 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-112) | Under 9.5 (-107) |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 41-39 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 17-23 home record and are coming off a 9-14 home defeat against the Phillies. They will face the Orioles and the Red Sox next.
The Nationals have a .248 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .424 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 57. James Wood adds a team-high 20 home runs.
Miles Mikolas (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 2-6 record, 5.47 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 43-36 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 20-17 road record and are coming off a 14-9 road win against the Nationals. They will face the Mets and the Pirates next.
The Phillies have a .234 batting average this season, .301 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .315 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team-high 29 home runs.
Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 3-4 record, 5.71 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: June 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 4.09
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-4
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Nationals following a win.
- The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Nationals following a win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Phillies following a loss.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 6.33
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Nationals: 2-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last 10 Wednesday night games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have lost nine of their last 10 night games against the Phillies at Nationals Park following a home loss.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Phillies’ last nine games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit at least one home run in four of the Nationals’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Nasim Nunez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (24) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryson Stott has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (23) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (335).
- The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (319).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.296).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (586).
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
The Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Nationals and have won two of their last three visits in Washington.
In this Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -140 road favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they have a combined 11.48 ERA and Mikolas has been weaker at home for the Nats, with a 6.37 ERA. The Nationals have the best offense in baseball and the Phillies are the second-best hitting team against righties in the last 10 days. Yesterday’s game had a whopping 23 total runs and I expect fireworks again today. Take the over 9.5 runs.