| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 73-59 | 63-69 |
| Spread | -1.5 155 | +1.5 -189 |
| Moneyline | -104 | -104 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 63-69 record this season and sit in 3rd place in the AL West. They have a 36-30 home record and are coming off a 9-2 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Blue Jays and the Red Sox next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .229 batting average this season, .309 OBP, and .375 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the Mariners’ best hitter with a .274 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 58, also adding a team-high 20 home runs.
George Kirby (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, holding an 8-10 record, 4.18 ERA, and 1.36 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 73-59 record this season and sit in 2nd place in the NL East. They have a 35-29 road record and are coming off a 2-9 road loss against the Mariners. They will face the Angels and the Diamondbacks next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .243 batting average this season, .314 OBP, and .404 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the Phillies’ best hitter with a .274 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 78, also adding a team-high 39 home runs.
Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, holding a 5-9 record, 5.12 ERA, and 1.42 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: August 25, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: George Kirby Record this season: 8-10 ERA: 4.18
- Home Record: 5-4
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The home team has won each of the Phillies’ last seven games.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Phillies and Mariners.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 5-9 ERA: 5.12
- Road Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Mariners: 1-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last six games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last two games against the Phillies.
- George Kirby has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as favorites against NL opponents.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against the Mariners.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
- Luis Arraez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (160) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (158).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (522).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1302).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Phillies vs Mariners Prediction
The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Mariners but are 1-3 in their last 4 meetings in Seattle.
In this Phillies vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -110 home favorites. I like the over in this one. Yesterday was supposed to be a pitcher’s duel and the total was set at just 6.5 runs and there were 11 runs scored with Gilbert and Wheeler on the mound, so I expect another high-scoring affair with Nola and Kirby. The Mariners’ bullpen has been in terrible form and both offenses have been red-hot, averaging 13.3 runs per game combined against righties in their last 10 games respectively and 12.2 runs per game overall. Take the over 7.5 in this one.