| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 27-27 | 31-22 |
| Spread | -1.5 165 | +1.5 -202 |
| Moneyline | +102 | -122 |
| Total | Over 8 (-102) | Under 8 (-118) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 27-27 on the year and play the Dodgers and Padres next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .227 on the season, with a .296 OBP and a .384 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 57 hits and 24 RBI, while Trea Turner and Bryce Harper have combined for 100 hits and 48 RBI.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 2-4 with a 6.04 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Nola is 3-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 77 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 31-22 on the year and play the Nationals and Phillies next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 219 on the season, have a .294 OBP, and have a .363 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 49 hits and 16 RBI, while Miguel Andujar and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 88 hits and 41 RBI.
Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven Tuesday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six road games against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last three games.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against the Padres.
- The Padres have lost six of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Miguel Andujar has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Phillies.
- Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in seven of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL West opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.617) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.363).
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.294).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (487).
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The Phillies have cooled off over the last week, and it feels like the Padres are due for a bounce-back effort. We know what Nola is capable of when he’s right, but he has a 6.04 ERA and 1.56 WHIP through 50.2 innings. Nola has a 6.10 ERA and a .283 allowed batting average in 31 road innings. Vasquez looks like an all-star with a 2.96 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. We’re getting a near pick ’em price. Give me the Padres at home with the pitcher in far better form.