Philadelphia (54-41) vs San Diego (52-43)
July 13, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego +1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 13, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (54-41, 24-25 Away) beat the Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres, and Cincinnati Reds, but failed to make it four straight wins after losing to the San Francisco Giants. Philadelphia will add another series loss following back-to-back defeats to the Padres. In Saturday’s 5-4 defeat, Edmundo Sosa led the offense with two RBI, while Zack Wheeler pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on six hits with six strikeouts and one walk. Tanner Banks took the loss.
This year, the Phillies average 4.62 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .257/.330/.407 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.66 ERA (7th) and 1.25 WHIP (12th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .251 batting average, 30 home runs, and 69 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Christopher Sanchez, who is 7-2 in 18 starts this season, with a 2.59 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 107.2 innings.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres (52-43, 31-17 Home) lost to the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, defeated the Texas Rangers, and split with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Thanks to 4-2 and 5-4 wins, the Padres will close the first half of the season with a series victory. Jackson Merrill led the offense with two home runs and three RBI, while Yu Darvish pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on five hits with two strikeouts and three walks. David Morgan was credited with the win.
This season, the Padres average 4.01 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .245/.315/.374 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.69 ERA (10th) and 1.24 WHIP (10th). Manny Machado leads the Padres with a .289 batting average, 17 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.
Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the Padres on Sunday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 9-2 record in 18 starts this year with a 3.07 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 102.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
Five of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against the Padres have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Padres rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (721).
The Padres rank T4th in the league for runs allowed this season (374).
The Phillies rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.330).
The Phillies are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
Phillies vs Padres Prediction
The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Padres were better in three of five meetings this season. The opening two games of this series were close, as expected, and I think we will have another tight affair here. Also, I don’t think we will have a high-scoring duel, considering the pitching matchup. Christopher Sanchez hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his previous eight starts, while he surrendered one in 7.0 innings in his latest start against the Padres, when the Phillies won 5-1. Nick Pivetta, on the other hand, allowed just one run in his last three starts, while he surrendered one in 6.0 innings earlier this month against the Phillies. Go with Under.