New York Mets (84-68) vs Philadelphia Phillies (91-61)
Game Info: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -120 / Philadelphia Phillies +100 — Over/Under: 7
The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets square off Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Cristopher Sanchez for the start here and Sanchez is 10-9 with a 3.24 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Sanchez is 1-2 with a 3.67 ERA and 28 strikeouts. The New York Mets will start David Peterson here and Peterson is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 89 strikeouts. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Peterson is 0-1 with a 3.29 ERA and 32 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this one looking to bounce back from their series-opening loss to the Mets on Thursday by a final score of 10-6. The loss put the Phils behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to bounce back from their series loss to the Brewers to start the week.
Phillies Have One Hand On NL East Title
Alec Bohm has 149 hits including 44 doubles, a .285 batting average and 90 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 150 hits, 29 home runs with 86 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 29 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 35 home runs, 98 RBIs, and 185 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 24 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won five of their last six night games following a loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Mets following a loss.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets will try to keep the ball rolling after ending up with the win in Thursday’s opener. The win was a nice carryover from their series sweep of the Nationals to start the week.
Mets Making Push For Playoffs
Pete Alonso has 34 home runs and 87 RBIs with 31 doubles and Francisco Lindor has 39 doubles of his own with 31 home runs and 86 RBIs along with 27 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 84 RBIs and 146 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 163 hits and Harrison Bader has 17 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last 11 night games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have lost nine of their last 10 games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Mets following a road loss.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
I’m on the Mets here. Might as well keep riding the hot hand until the tickets stop paying. Sanchez has been a solid arm for the Phillies this season, but without question, his best work has been done at home which doesn’t necessarily help him here. Peterson had a rough outing a couple of starts ago but bounced right back against the Phillies in his last start and Peterson’s been one of the most profitable starters the Mets have had this season. I’ll back New York in this one.