| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 46-36 | 34-48 |
| Spread | +1.5 -184 | -1.5 152 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -131 |
| Total | Over 9 (-103) | Under 9 (-117) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Saturday, June 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 34-48 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 18-23 home record and are coming off a 1-2 home defeat against the Phillies. They will face the Blue Jays and the Braves next.
The Mets have a .231 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average, also adding a team-high 17 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 45.
Christian Scott (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 2-0 record, 3.10 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 46-36 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 23-17 road record and are coming off a 2-1 road win against the Mets. They will face the Pirates and the Royals next.
The Phillies have a .236 batting average this season, .302 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .319 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team-high 29 home runs.
Alan Rangel (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 0-0 record, 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 27, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 3.10
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against the Phillies following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against the Phillies following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Alan Rangel Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 2.25
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Mets: –
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games at Citi Field following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Phillies’ last seven games at Citi Field.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Mets.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last three day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last seven games between the Phillies and Mets.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five games.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 15 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.557) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alan Rangel has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (100).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.297).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (779).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (222).
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
The Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Mets but have lost two of their last three visits in New York.
In this Phillies vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -135 home favorites. The Phillies are going for a bullpen game but I still like them here as road dogs. They have been red-hot with a 6-1 record in their last 7 games, having scored 10+ runs in three of those wins and will be facing a struggling Mets team that has dropped seven straight and has scored three runs or less in five of their last seven games. Take the Phillies for plus money in this one.