| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 37-32 | 42-25 |
| Spread | +1.5 -150 | -1.5 124 |
| Moneyline | +144 | -175 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-104) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Saturday, June 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, June 13th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 42-25 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 22-13 home record and are coming off a 6-0 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Guardians and the Braves next.
The Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 13 home runs.
Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 37-32 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 18-15 road record and are coming off a 0-6 road defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Marlins and the Mets next.
The Phillies have a .226 batting average this season, .296 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .322 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 24 home runs.
Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 3-4 record, 5.86 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: June 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 3.11
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 3-4 ERA: 5.86
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 2-2
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven games following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against the Phillies.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against the Brewers.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (654).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for hits this season (519).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (90).
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Phillies but both teams are tied 3-3 in their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 home favorites. Nola takes the mound for the Phillies and I don’t trust him against one of the best teams in baseball. He has been struggling this season and has given up 3+ runs in seven of his ten starts. The Brewers have the second-best offense in baseball, while the Phillies are tied for 26th, so take the Brewers to win this one at home.