Miami Marlins (52-87) vs Philadelphia Phillies (83-56)
Game Info: Friday, September 6, 2024 at 7:10 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +210 / Philadelphia Phillies -256 — Over/Under:
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Phillies vs Marlins pick. We will examine:
The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Marlins game
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies took on the Toronto Blue Jays in a pair of games this week. After a 10-9 win in the opener, on Wednesday the Phillies powered out a 4-2 win. In Thursday’s matchup versus the Marlins, Philadelphia posted seven team hits in a 5-2 win. Ranger Suarez went 5.0 clean frames in the starting role.
As a starter for Friday, the Phillies will go with Zack Wheeler. So far Wheeler is 13-6 with a 2.63 ERA in 27 starts. Wheeler is 100-69 with a 3.36 ERA in 254 career starts.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, in their last set, they played the Washington Nationals in two games. Miami lost 6-2 Tuesday then on Wednesday eked out a 4-3 win. In Thursday’s game, the Marlins gave up four runs in the sixth inning and couldn’t climb out of the hole. Adam Oller went 5.1 innings with four earned as a starter.
In the starter slot for Friday Miami is going with Edward Cabrera. This season Cabrera is 3-6 with a 5.33 ERA in 16 starts. Over his MLB career Cabrera is 16-20 with a 4.37 ERA in 59 games (57 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Phillies and Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last five Friday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in eight of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against the Phillies.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last five games against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one Double in four of the Phillies’ last five road games.
- Bryson Stott has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’m leaning toward Philly. You could make a great case for trying Miami on a value play, though. The line’s probably too thick to mess with anyway. Wheeler is a tepid 1-1 in his last three starts combined but he’s been pitching well. In that trio, Wheeler has 19.0 innings with just four earned on 16 hits and two walks. As for Cabrera, he’s 1-2 in his last three starts with seven earned in 16.2 frames combined.
On Thursday the Phillies had a pretty solid all-around game The bullpen was decent with three hits and an earned run from Max Lazar being the only real blemish. I like Philly to keep it going Friday.