Miami Marlins (51-86) vs Philadelphia Phillies (81-56)
Game Info: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +180 / Philadelphia Phillies -198 — Over/Under:
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Phillies vs Marlins pick. We will examine:
The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Marlins game
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Philadelphia took on the Toronto Blue Jays in a pair of games this week. Philly won 10-9 in the opener then on Wednesday the Phillies bagged eight hits in a 4-1 win.
In the starter slot for Thursday’s opener, the Phillies will trot out Ranger Suarez. So far Suarez is 11-6 with a 3.02 ERA in 22 starts. In 156 career games (88 starts) Suarez is 40-27 with a 3.32 ERA. The Phillies will play against the Rays following this series.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Washington Nationals in a two-game set this week. Miami lost 6-2 Tuesday, then in game two the Marlins eked out a walk-off 10-inning win 4-3. Valente Bellozo went 6.0 clean frames with three hits and two walks. As starting pitcher Thursday Miami will send out Adam Oller. This year Oller is 1-1 with a 3.31 ERA in three starts. Oller is 4-10 with a 6.53 ERA in 31 career games (18 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last four night games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in six of the Marlins’ last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jonah Bride has scored a run in four of his last five appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Phillies.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 12 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryson Stott has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in six of his last seven appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll lean toward Philly. Suarez does need a good start, though. He posted a nice effort versus Kansas City on August 24 with one earned in 5.0 innings during a win. Suarez came back with four earned on five hits and a walk over 4.0 innings in a loss to the Braves on August 30, though.
On Wednesday the Phillies came back from an early deficit and held on for the win. Philly got all of their RBI via the home run, however, so it’d be nice to see some variation in the offense on Thursday. That said, if Suarez can kick things off well the Phillies will be in good shape.