Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 10/9/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

3 weeks ago

Oct 8, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12) celebrates after hitting a solo home run during the fourth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers during game three of the NLDS round for the 2025 MLB playoffs at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Philadelphia (96-66) vs Los Angeles (93-69)

October 9, 2025 at 06:08 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles -130 — Over/Under: +7.5

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Cristopher Sanchez here and Sanchez was 13-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 212 strikeouts in the regular season. Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers here and was 4-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 106 strikeouts in the regular season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to keep their season alive for one more day after picking up an 8-2 win over the Dodgers in game three on Wednesday.

Phillies Trying To Force Game Five

Nick Castellanos has 137 hits with 27 doubles including 17 home runs and 72 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 145 hits with a team-high 56 home runs and 132 RBIs but also has a team-high 197 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 12 stolen bases, 32 doubles, 27 home runs and 75 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 179 hits with 7 triples, 15 home runs, 69 RBIs and a team-high 36 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 19 doubles and Bryson Stott has 22 doubles, 3 triples, 13 homers and 66 RBIs while Stott also has 24 stolen bases as well this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to Philadelphia on Wednesday to end up having to play a game four.

Dodgers Hoping To Close Out Here

Shohei Ohtani has 172 hits including 25 doubles, 55 home runs, 102 RBIs and 9 triples. Michael Conforto has 83 hits with 20 doubles while Teoscar Hernandez has 126 hits with 25 home runs, 29 doubles and 89 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 20 stolen bases while Max Muncy has 10 doubles but also has 83 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 20 home runs and 82 RBIs as well on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 164 hits with a team-high 39 doubles, 24 home runs and 90 RBIs. Andy Pages also has 158 hits with 27 doubles, 27 home runs and 86 RBIs as well this season.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: October 9, 2025

Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Glasnow Record this season (inc. playoffs): 4-3 ERA: 3.13
Home Record: 3-2
Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

The Dodgers have won each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Phillies have lost each of their last five playoff games following a win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five playoff games following a loss.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five playoff games following a win.
The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in 15 of their last 16 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Dodger Stadium.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez Record this season (inc. playoffs): 13-5 ERA: 2.51
Road Record: 7-5
Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The underdogs have won eight of the last 10 games between the Phillies and Dodgers.
The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against the Dodgers.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four playoff games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Dodgers’ last seven home playoff games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Eight of the Phillies’ last nine day playoff games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Freddie Freeman has hit at least one home run in five of the Dodgers’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Tyler Glasnow has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
Tyler Glasnow has recorded eight or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.
Andy Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
Esteury Ruiz has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last three road playoff games against NL West opponents.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1426).
The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).