| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 96-66 | 93-69 |
| Where | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California | |
| When | Wednesday, October 8, 2025 | |
| Time | 09:08 PM EDT | |
| TV | TBS | |
The Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 NLDS action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies need a win to force a game 4 on Thursday. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .203 on the season, have a .288 OBP, and a .313 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. J.T. Realmuto leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 3 hits and 2 RBI, while Max Kepler and Brandon Marsh have combined for 3 hits and 0 RBI.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Nola is 5-4 with a 4.02 ERA and 58 strikeouts in his postseason career. Nola is 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 76 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers look to make their fourth NLCS in the last 6 years. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .289 on the season, have a .365 OBP, and a .486 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Teoscar Hernandez leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 7 hits and 9 RBI, while Mookie Betts and Enrique Hernandez have combined for 12 hits and 7 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 12-8 with a 2.49 ERA and 201 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his postseason career. This will be Yamamoto’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Record this season (inc. playoffs): 13-8 ERA: 2.40
- Home Record: 4-4
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last nine playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six night playoff games.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six home playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night playoff games at Dodger Stadium against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Dodger Stadium against NL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 5-10 ERA: 6.01
- Road Record: 0-6
- Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-3
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Dodgers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games following a home loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight playoff games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight night playoff games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three road games.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Tommy Edman has hit a home run in three of his last four playoff appearances at Dodger Stadium.
- Andy Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 13 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances against the Phillies.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (55) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two road playoff games against NL West opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Trea Turner ranks T4th in the league in Hits (179) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (244).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (791).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (435).
- The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1471).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Phillies have the talent to turn things around and make this a series, but they’ve put themselves behind the eight-ball, and now they’re throwing out Nola, who is having a down year. We know what Nola is capable of when he’s right, but he has a 6.01 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the season. In 41.1 road innings, Nola has a 6.97 ERA and .285 allowed batting average. Yamamoto was great in last year’s postseason, and he’s allowed 11 hits and 2 earned runs in his last 32.2 innings. It’s hard to step in front of the Dodgers given the way this series has played out, they’re at home, and they have the edge on the mound. Give me the Dodgers and the RL for max betting value.