| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 19-22 | 17-23 |
| Spread | -1.5 113 | +1.5 -136 |
| Moneyline | -149 | +123 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-102) | Under 8.5 (-118) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 19-22 on the year and play the Pirates and Reds next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .237 on the season and have a .303 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 47 hits and 21 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 81 hits and 37 RBI.
Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 17-23 on the year and play the Braves and Royals next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .235 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .353 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 43 hits and 18 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 70 hits and 39 RBI.
The Boston Red Sox didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Red Sox’s last five games at Fenway Park.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games following a win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against the Phillies following a loss.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Phillies at Fenway Park.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won 12 of their last 13 night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Tuesday night games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last five games against American League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Phillies.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.
- Brandon Marsh ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.353) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (156).
- The Red Sox rank 27th in the league for RBIs this season (149).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (392).
- The Phillies rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (8).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Phillies still look like a different team under Donnie Baseball and Wheeler isn’t a pitcher I’m excited to bet against. We know what Wheeler is capable of when he’s right and despite just 17.1 innings under his belt, he has a 3.12 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and .180 allowed batting average. I don’t care who the Red Sox are throwing out there; I’m going to side with the red-hot Phillies behind their ace on the bump.