| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 58-53 | 54-57 |
| Spread | -1.5 124 | +1.5 -149 |
| Moneyline | -144 | +119 |
| Total | Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Sunday, August 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 54-57 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 30-28 home record and are coming off a 0-5 home loss against the Phillies. They will face the Angels and the Rangers next.
The Baltimore Orioles have a .236 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Pete Alonso is the team’s best hitter with a .249 batting average, adding a team-high 69 RBI and a team-high 23 home runs.
Kyle Bradish (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Baltimore Orioles, and he has a 7-9 record, 3.74 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 58-53 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 30-26 away record and are coming off a 5-0 road win against the Orioles. They will face the Nationals and the Blue Jays next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .236 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .279 batting average. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI with 65, while Kyle Schwarber adds a team-high 33 home runs.
Zack Wheeler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 10-2 record, 2.53 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: August 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish Record this season: 7-9 ERA: 3.74
- Home Record: 3-4
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
- The Orioles have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler Record this season: 10-2 ERA: 2.53
- Road Record: 6-1
- Last 5 against Orioles: 1-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The favorites have won eight of the Orioles’ last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Orioles’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 home games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson is one of only nine players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 14 games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (434).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1024).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1084).
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Orioles are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Baltimore.
In this Phillies vs Orioles Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -140 road favorites. I like the Phillies in this one with Zack Wheeler on the mound, who has been elite this season with a sub-1.00 WHIP and even better on the road with a 6-1 record and 1.73 ERA. Bradish has given up 8 runs in two of his last three home starts and the Orioles are scoring just 3.6 runs per game against right-handed pitching in their last 10 games. Take the Phillies in this one.