| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-17 | 18-8 |
| Where | Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia | |
| When | Friday, April 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | Apple TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 25th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 18-8 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have an 8-4 home record and are coming off a 7-2 road win against the Nationals. Their previous three games were an 8-6 road win and a 4-11 road loss against the Nationals, and a 9-4 road win.
The Braves have a .275 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .456 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.12 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Drake Baldwin is the team’s best hitter with a .318 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 23. Matt Olson adds a team‑high 7 home runs.
Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 1-1 record, 3.42 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have an 8-17 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 3-7 away record and are coming off a 7-8 road loss against the Cubs. Their previous three games were a 2-7 and a 4-7 road loss against the Cubs, and a 1-5 road loss.
The Phillies have a .219 batting average this season, .296 OBP and .363 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 5.12 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 15, also adding a team‑high 8 home runs.
Andrew Painter (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 1-1 record, 4.42 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.42
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games following a road win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Painter Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 4.42
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine night games against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Phillies and Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in each of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Phillies and Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven Friday games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two home games against the Phillies.
- Drake Baldwin ranks 1st in the league in Hits (34) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in four of his last five Friday appearances at Truist Park.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 Friday games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (150).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (248).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (257).
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
The Braves have won their last four meetings against the Phillies and are 2-1 in their last three meetings in Atlanta.
In this Phillies vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -150 home favorites. The Braves are the best team in baseball right now, as they are 8-1 in their last 9 games, while the Phillies have been on a free fall with nine consecutive losses. Painter takes the mound for the Phillies and he has given up seven runs in his last two starts and he goes up against the Braves’ top offense in baseball. Atlanta also has the 4th-best bullpen ERA, so I expect them to get the job done at home today.