Padres vs Orioles Prediction 6/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Padres vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 14th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 36-33 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-7 and 9-3. In game two, San Diego scored four runs in the first inning and never looked back in the win. The Padres recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Taylor, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Vasquez allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Rodriguez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, San Diego won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Mets before that. 

This season, San Diego has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 267 runs with a .219 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 12 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 11 home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Walker Buehler, who is 3-3 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 34-38 this year after they lost game two by a score of 9-3 on Saturday. Baltimore cut the deficit to 4-2 in the bottom of the first inning, but they didn’t score again until the seventh in the loss. The Orioles recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Gibson allowed three hits and six earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Suarez allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore split four games with the Mariners and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays.

This season, Baltimore has a 4.60 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 341 runs with a .242 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 16 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 14 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 3-6 with a 6.15 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last four day games following a home loss.
• The Padres have lost six of their last seven road games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost nine of their last 12 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites against the Padres have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Padres’ last nine games as underdogs against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six Sunday games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of Walker Buehler’s last six appearances as a starter.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Padres.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gavin Sheets has hit at least one home run in each of the Padres’ last three day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Padres vs Orioles Prediction 

San Diego was able to get the win in game two on Saturday, but they have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games. The Padres are 17-14 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 22-18 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last four games and they have scored seven runs in each of those three wins. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Buehler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the Padres to win again here.

David Racey's Pick: Padres ML