Orioles vs Reds Prediction 7/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 3rd at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-48 this year after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 2-8, 3-9, and 6-1. In game three, Baltimore trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the last six runs to get the win. The Orioles recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Taveras, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Kremer allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Wells threw two innings in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 403 runs with a .239 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 19 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 5-7 with a 4.99 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-46 this season after they lost three out of four against the Brewers by scores of 3-5, 2-7, 2-4, and 7-2. In game four, Cincinnati had their lead cut to 5-2 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last two runs to seal the win. The Reds recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Trevino, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Burns allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Moll threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Pirates, but lost all three against the Brewers before that. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 364 runs with a .228 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 17 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 13 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 3-7 with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight home games following a win.
• The road team has won four of the Orioles’ last five games.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four road games against the Reds.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last four games as underdogs against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites against the Reds have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last nine Friday games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last four games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Sal Stewart has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three road games against NL opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.

Orioles vs Reds Prediction

Cincinnati was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Thursday against the Brewers, but they have allowed 5+ runs in three of their last five games. The Reds are 19-22 at home this year, while the Orioles are 16-25 on the road. Baltimore also snapped a losing streak in their last game and they have allowed 6+ runs in three of their last four. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Singer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Reds at home here.

David Racey's Pick: Reds ML