| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Saturday, April 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 4th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 3-4 this season after they lost game one against the Pirates by a score of 5-4 on Friday afternoon. Baltimore trailed 4-0 in the fifth inning, but they did score four runs over the last five innings, before falling just short. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Henderson, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Bradish allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Enns allowed one earned run in relief.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 30 runs with a .257 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson has led the Orioles with two home runs and six RBIs, while Tyler O’Neill has added one home run and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 4-3 this year after they opened this series with a 5-4 win in game one. Pittsburgh scored four runs in the first two innings, but they only scored one run over the last six innings and nearly blew the game late. The Pirates recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Cruz, O’Hearn, Griffin, Triolo, and Davis, who all had one RBI. Keller allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Soto picked up the save in the ninth.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while they have scored 34 runs with a .230 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz has led the Pirates with three home runs and seven RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added two home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last nine day games at PNC Park following a home win.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games at PNC Park following a home win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 Saturday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last five day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a road loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games at PNC Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Orioles’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Orioles and Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Orioles and Pirates at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games at PNC Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in day games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two road games.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
Orioles vs Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 21 runs during that span. The Pirates are starting Mlodzinski, who is very average in my opinion. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games, but they have scored at least four runs in four of their last five. The Orioles are going with Baz, who struggled in his first start, but I think he is going to bounce back for a solid season. Baltimore gained some momentum late in game one and I like them to win game two here.