Orioles vs Mets Prediction 9/15/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 15th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 73-78 this season after they won game one by a score of 2-1 on Monday night. Baltimore blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored once in the eighth to get the win. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Henderson, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Young allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Cano got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Guardians before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 674 runs with a .235 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 35 home runs and 100 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 23 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 6-15 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 169.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-81 this year after they lost game one by a score of 1-2 last night. New York tied the game at one in the fourth inning, but they failed to score over the last five innings for the loss. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ewing, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Tong allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Nunez picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the Marlins in three games before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 644 runs with a .238 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 25 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 5-7 with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 133.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games at Citi Field following a win.
• The Mets have won five of their last six games following a loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 18 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four road games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Mets’ last six games against AL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• A.J. Ewing has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Tuesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games against the Mets.
• Shane Baz has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have allowed two runs in three straight games. The Mets are 34-41 at home this year, while the Orioles are 37-39 on the road. Baltimore has won three of their last five, but they have scored two or fewer in back to back games. The O’s are starting Baz, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Manaea has allowed 4+ earned runs in five straight outings. Take the Orioles to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML