| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 50-60 | 64-45 |
| Where | Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Saturday, August 2, 2025 | |
| Time | 02:20 PM EDT | |
| TV | FS1 | |
In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2nd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 50-60 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-0 on Friday afternoon. Baltimore only allowed one run in the second inning, but couldn’t find any offense in the low scoring loss. The Orioles recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Jackson, Holliday, and Rutschman, who all had one hit in the loss. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed four hits and one earned run in the complete game loss.
Prior to this series, the Orioles won three out of four against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Rockies. Baltimore has won five of their last seven games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .265 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 482 runs with a .244 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 12 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 8-5 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 109.0 innings pitched this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 64-45 this year after they won the first game in this series by a score of 1-0. Chicago scored their lone run in the second inning, which was enough for the win, but they failed to score in the final six innings. The Cubs recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Happ, who went 0-2 with one RBI in the win. Chicago started Horton, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Palencia picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that. Chicago has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 571 runs with a .255 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 26 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 27 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ben Brown, who is 5-7 with a 6.22 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cubs will beat the Orioles
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games against the Orioles.
- The Orioles have lost 13 of their last 16 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last five Saturday games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Wrigley Field.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Orioles will beat the Cubs
- The Orioles have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Orioles and Cubs.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Orioles’ last 13 road games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven day games between the Orioles and Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Ian Happ has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last five games at Wrigley Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jordan Westburg has recorded two or more hits in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction
Chicago was able to pick up a very low scoring win to start this series on Friday afternoon, as their pitching staff was elite in the victory. The Cubs are 34-19 at home this year, while the Orioles are 23-33 on the road. Baltimore continues to be much more competitive than they were to start the season, but they are still way back in the AL East. The O’s are starting Sugano, who has allowed 1, 3, 3, 6, and 7 earned runs in his last five starts. Chicago is going with Brown, who has allowed at least six earned runs in three of his last five outings. This is not a very good pitching matchup and I think we are going to see scoring, so take the over here.