Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 11th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 71-76 this year after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 6-4, 5-9, and 9-5. In game three, Baltimore trailed 2-0 in the first inning, but they scored the next nine runs to get the win. The Orioles recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Beavers, who went 2-5 with three RBIs. Baz allowed six hits and five earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Garcia picked up the save. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost all four against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Rockies. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 661 runs with a .234 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 34 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 22 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Chris Bassitt, who is 6-5 with a 4.96 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 85.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 73-74 this season after they lost two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 5-6, 4-2, and 0-2. In game three, Toronto allowed one run in the third inning and another in the fourth in the shutout loss. The Blue Jays recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Kirk, who went 1-3 with one walk. Fisher opened the game, while Lorenzen picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Toronto won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 589 runs with a .248 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 30 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added nine home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 2-7 with a 6.03 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won 16 of their last 18 games following a loss.
• The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games at Rogers Centre following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Rogers Centre against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven home games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Max Scherzer has recorded six or more strikeouts in 24 of his last 26 Friday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Valenzuela has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games at Rogers Centre against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Coby Mayo has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
• Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (560).
• The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (1053).
• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (544).
• The Orioles rank 26th in the league for hits this season (1146).

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they are back below .500 on the season. The Blue Jays are 37-35 at home this year, while the Orioles are 35-37 on the road. Baltimore has lost three of their last five games, but they have scored 20 runs in their last three. The O’s are starting Bassitt, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Scherzer has allowed 3, 0, 2, 7, and 1 earned run in his last five. Take the Blue Jays at home here.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML