Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction 6/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 5th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 30-33 this year after they won two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 4-2, 1-8, and 8-2. In game three, Baltimore scored six runs in the first inning and two more in the fifth to get the blowout win. The Orioles recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, who went 1-4 with three RBIs. Rogers allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Kittredge allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore split four games with the Blue Jays and swept the Rays in three games. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.61 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 288 runs with a .240 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 12 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 13 home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 30-33 this season after they lost two out of three against the Braves by scores of 3-4, 3-7, and 7-2. In game three, Toronto had their lead cut to 3-2 in the eighth inning, but they scored four runs in the ninth to put the game away. The Blue Jays recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Straw, who went 2-5 with three RBIs. Dallas allowed two hits and one earned run over 3.2 innings for the win, while Varland picked up the save. Prior to that series, Toronto split four games with the Orioles and won two out of three against the Marlins. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 257 runs with a .247 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 13 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added six home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 2-2 with a 2.19 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six games at Rogers Centre following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won eight of their last nine games at Rogers Centre against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine Friday night games at Rogers Centre.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Orioles and Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five Friday night games.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL opponents.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto snapped their losing streak with a nice win on Thursday against the Braves, but they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five games. The Blue Jays are 17-13 at home this year, while the Orioles are 11-18 on the road. Baltimore has won four of their last five games and they have scored at least six runs in three of those five. The Orioles are starting Young, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Yesavage has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings. I don’t love the Blue Jays offense, but Yesavage is the much better starter. Take Toronto here.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML