Orioles vs Astros Prediction 7/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 18th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 47-51 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Baltimore trailed 2-1 for most of the game, but they scored two runs in the eighth to escape with the win. The Orioles recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ward, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Kremer allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Sanders got the win and Wells picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore swept the Royals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Cubs before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 450 runs with a .238 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 21 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 6-7 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 47-52 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 last night. Houston led 1-0 in the first inning and 2-1 in the third inning, but their bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Astros recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Lambert allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while King blew the save and took the loss. Prior to this series, Houston lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Houston has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 451 runs with a .242 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 31 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 20 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 7-5 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven Saturday day road games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line each of their last eight Saturday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Daikin Park against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Daikin Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have lost three of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 games at Daikin Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Orioles’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last four day games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros’ last seven games against AL opponents.
• Spencer Arrighetti has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Taylor Ward has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Daikin Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.

Orioles vs Astros Prediction 

Baltimore was able to continue their winning streak on Friday night in game one and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Orioles are 19-26 on the road this year, while the Astros are 23-25 at home. Houston has lost four of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of those five. The Astros are starting Arrighetti, who has allowed 6+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Rogers has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight outings. Take the Orioles to win again.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML