New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 6/27/24

The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Thursday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

The Toronto Blue Jays recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends in games played between the Yankees and Blue Jays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yankees vs Blue Jays game

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees played a pair of games versus the New York Mets this week. The Yankees lost 9-7 during a wild opener. On Wednesday the Yankees took a rough blowout loss 12-2. Luis Gil gave up five earned in 4.1 innings as starter.

In the starter slot for Thursday’s opener the Yankees are going with Carlos Rodon. This year Rodon is 9-4 with a 3.86 ERA in 16 starts. Over his 182 career games (177 starts), Rodon is 68-58 with a 3.83 ERA. The Yankees will take on the Reds after this series.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, they took on the Boston Red Sox in their last series. Toronto split the first pair of outings 7-6 (loss) and 9-4 (win). On Wednesday in the game three rubber match the Blue Jays saw their evening suspended and postponed due to severe weather. That game will be made up on August 26.

As starting pitcher for Thursday the Jays are sending out Jose Berrios. So far Berrios is 6-6 with a 3.43 ERA in 16 starts. Berrios hs a 4.09 ERA with an 89-72 career record in 228 games (227 starts). The Blue Jays will play against the Astros, Mariners, and Giants following this series.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick Injury Notes

Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) will likely be out for around four weeks. 3B Jon Berti (calf) could begin a rehab assignment in a few weeks.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against AL East opponents.
• Justin Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL East opponents at Rogers Centre.
• Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against AL opponents.
• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last three games as road favorites.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded two or more RBIs in four of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites.
• Aaron Judge has scored a run in each of the Yankees’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.712) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (311).
• The Toronto Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for hits this season (607).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (408).
• The New York Yankees rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (108).

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Jays. Probably not touching this one, though; both starters have been pretty rough lately. Berrios is 1-2 in his last three starts with a combined 12 earned runs in 16.2 innings total. As for Rodon, he’s given up 12 earned runs in 8.2 innings during his last pair of starts, going 0-2 in that time.

The Jays have scored well lately. They’ve posted three or more runs in four straight games, and five or more in three straight. Trouble is, Toronto has given up 17 combined runs over their last three. If Berrios can keep things manageable, the Jays should have a good shot.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +120