New York (55-44) vs Toronto (58-41)
July 21, 2025 at 07:07 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto +1.5 — Over/Under: +8
The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet Monday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 55-44 on the year and play the Phillies, Rays, and Marlins next. The New York Yankees are batting .256 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .455 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 128 hits and 82 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 198 hits and 93 RBI.
Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 2-2 with a 4.85 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 58-41 on the year and play the Tigers, Orioles, and Royals next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .261 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .409 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 114 hits and 55 RBI while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 192 hits and 74 RBI.
Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 6-7 with a 4.19 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 10-10 with a 3.87 ERA and 176 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Why the New York Yankees will win
The Yankees have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a road win.
The road team has covered the run line in four of the Yankees’ last five games.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three home games against American League opponents following a home win.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in 26 of his last 27 home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in six of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 15 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Yankees are always worth a look given the talent on their roster, and Rodon is having a strong all-star season with a 3.08 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. However, the Blue Jays have been a team we’ve backed a lot this season and have picked up where they’ve left off with a sweep of the Giants. Gausman has been up and down, but the Blue Jays have won eight of his last 12 starts. The Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball, and we’ve profited nicely off them over the last month or so. Until the tickets stop cashing I’ll keep rolling with the team up north. Give me the Blue Jays.