| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 50-40 | 52-36 |
| Spread | +1.5 -206 | -1.5 168 |
| Moneyline | +101 | -122 |
| Total | Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-109) |
| Where | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida | |
| When | Tuesday, July 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, July 7th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 52‑36 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 31‑13 home record and are coming off a 1‑5 home defeat against the Yankees. They will face the Mariners and the Red Sox next.
The Rays have a .258 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .317 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 58, while Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 26 home runs.
Ian Seymour (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 5‑1 record, 4.02 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 50‑40 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 27‑20 road record and are coming off a 5‑1 road win against the Rays. They will face the Nationals and the Dodgers next.
The Yankees have a .233 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .419 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 57 and adding a team‑high 25 home runs.
Will Warren (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 7‑3 record, 3.73 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: July 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Seymour Record this season: 5-1 ERA: 4.02
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Yankees: 1-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games at Tropicana Field following a win.
- The Rays have won 13 of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Tropicana Field following a road win.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren Record this season: 7-3 ERA: 3.73
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Rays: 0-1
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have won each of their last 10 Tuesday road games.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Tuesday games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday home games.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Rays.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Rays’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Yankees’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last seven games as favorites.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Yankees’ last seven games as underdogs.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in each of the Rays’ last four games as home favorites.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Yandy Diaz ranks 4th in the league in Hits (101) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last three night games.
- Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (26) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (631).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (238).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (131).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.37).
Yankees vs Rays Prediction
The Rays are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Yankees and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Tampa.
In this Yankees vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -120 home favorites. The Rays are bigger favorites than yesterday when they had to go up against Cam Schlitter and will be having a bullpen game today. Makes no sense, as the books don’t know how to price the struggling Yankees. Warren has not been the Yankees’ best pitcher, but he has been decent against the Rays with a 3.65 ERA. He will go up against a bottom-10 Rays bullpen, so I will gladly once again take the Yankees and the plus money.