| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-0 | 2-2 |
| Spread | -1.5 148 | +1.5 -179 |
| Moneyline | -108 | -112 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-112) | Under 7.5 (-108) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Monday, March 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners meet Monday in MLB action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Pick.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 3-0 on the year and play the Marlins and Athletics next. The New York Yankees are batting .243 on the season and have a .304 OBP, and a .388 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 0.33 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP. Giancarlo Stanton leads the New York Yankees with 6 hits and 2 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jose Caballero have combined for 7 hits and 1 RBI.
Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he was 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 37 strikeouts last season. This will be Weathers’ second career game against the Seattle Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 2-2 on the year and play the Angels and Rangers next. The Seattle Mariners are batting. 208 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and have a .462 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 2.92 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. Brendan Donovan leads the Seattle Mariners with 6 hits and 4 RBI while Luke Raley and Randy Arozarena have combined for 8 hits and 8 RBI.
Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he was 11-8 with a 3.54 ERA and 162 strikeouts last season. Castillo is 1-3 with a 2.74 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The home team has won each of the last three games between the Yankees and Mariners.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last five Monday road games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Yankees’ last five games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have won 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Yankees following a win.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Monday night games against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games as underdogs against American League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five road games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Mariners’ last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in five of the Mariners’ last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Monday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Brendan Donovan ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (2) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two road games.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Mariners.
- Giancarlo Stanton ranks T5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.500) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (47).
- The Mariners rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.143).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (13).
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Yankees looked flawless against the Giants and have rest heading into this series, but I’m not excited about Weathers, who is pitching in his sixth season and has yet to top 100 innings in a year. The Mariners were a sexy pick to win the World Series this season and while we’re a long way away from that, this feels like an early measuring stick game where players and the crowd will be up for it. Castillo is a vet who got back his all star caliber ways last season and had a 2.60 ERA and .192 allowed batting average in 100.1 home innings. I’ll roll with the Mariners in this intriguing series opener.