New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 3/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

4 hours ago

MATCHUP	New York Yankees	San Francisco Giants
Team Records	2-0	0-2
Spread	-1.5 129	+1.5 -156
Moneyline	-131	+109
Total	Over 8.5 (-110)	Under 8.5 (-110)
Where	Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
When	Saturday, March 28, 2026
Time	07:15 PM EDT
TV	MLB.TV

The New York Yankees and the San Francisco Giants meet Saturday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees send out Will Warren for the start here and Warren was 9-8 with a 4.44 ERA and 171 strikeouts last season. This will be Warren’s first career start against the Giants. Tyler Mahle will start for the Giants and was 6-4 with a 2.18 ERA and 66 strikeouts last season. This will be Mahle’s second career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their 3-0 win over the Giants from Friday’s matchup to improve to 2-0 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will take to the road for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Yankees Looking For Early Season Series Win

Giancarlo Stanton leads the Yankees with 4 hits including a home run and two RBIs while Jose Caballero has 3 hits with an RBI as well. Austin Wells, Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. all have a pair of hits while Aaron Judge has a home run and 2 RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt’s added a double while Trent Grisham has a triple and 2 RBIs and Ryan McMahon has 2 RBIs as well on the year.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants will be out to rebound from the loss to the Yankees on Friday to fall to 0-2 this season. After this series, the Giants will head on the road for a game against the San Diego Padres.

Giants Still Searching For First Run Of 2026

Heliot Ramos leads San Francisco with 2 hits so far this season as part of his .286 batting average along with a double while Rafael Devers has gone 1 for 8 and Luis Arraez is 1 for 7 at the dish. Willy Adames and the aforementioned Ramos each have a team-high 4 strikeouts so far this season.

New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants Betting Trends: March 28, 2026

Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle Record this season: – ERA: –
Home Record: –
Last 5 against Yankees: 0-1

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

The Yankees have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
The Giants have won each of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Giants have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Giants have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last five Saturday day games against National League opponents.
The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren Record this season: – ERA: –
Road Record: –
Last 5 against Giants: 1-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
The Giants have lost each of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
The Giants have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Yankees’ last nine day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Giants’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Yankees’ last 10 day games against NL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four games as underdogs.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

Heliot Ramos has recorded a Double in three of the Giants’ last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Rafael Devers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Luis Arraez ranked T2nd in the league in Hits (181) last season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Giants.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
Jose Caballero ranked 1st in the league in Steals (49) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Giants ranked 1st in the league for home runs allowed last season (143).
The Giants ranked 29th in the league for steals last season (68).
The Yankees ranked 1st in the league for runs scored last season (849).
The Yankees ranked 1st in the league for home runs last season (274).