New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the New York Yankees on Friday, July 25^th at the Yankee Stadium in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction. We will examine:

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees game

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 56-46 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL East. The Yankees have a 30-19 home record and are 45-54 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-8 road defeat by the Blue Jays, and are 3-5 in their last 8 games.

The Yankees have a .254 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .454 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 129 hits, 84 RBI and 37 home runs, while also being the team’s best hitter, with a .345 batting average.

Will Warren (R) will take the mound for the Yankees, and he has a 6-5 record, 4.91 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 58-44 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL East. They have a 25-25 road record, and are 44-55 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-9 home defeat by the Red Sox, which snapped their previous two-game winning streak. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.

The Phillies have a .254 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 119 hits and in batting average with .290, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 78 RBI and a team-high 34 home runs.

Taijuan Walker (R) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 3-5 record, 3.75 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday games as home favorites.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Friday night games as favorites.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven games following a home loss.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Phillies and Yankees.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (163).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.454).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (952).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Phillies, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in New York. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -155 home favorites. Both teams have similar overall records, while the Yankees have been very strong at home, and the Phillies have been mediocre on the road. The Yankees might have a slightly better bullpen and offense, but Warren has been mediocre this season, and coming into this matchup in poor form, with a 5.70 ERA in his last 5 starts. Walker has been excellent on the road for the Phillies, with a 2.19 road ERA, so the road dog is barking in this matchup. I will take a stab with the Philadelphia Phillies and the plus money in this one.