New York Mets (37-39) vs New York Yankees (52-28)
Game Info: Wednesday, June 26, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets +118 / New York Yankees -139 — Over/Under: 8.5
The New York Yankees and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a New York Yankees vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the second installment in a quick two-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The New York Yankees recent form and player performance
The New York Mets recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
Recent betting trends in games played between the Yankees and Mets
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yankees vs Mets game
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Yankees took on the Atlanta Braves. New York won only one game of that set (8-3 Saturday), otherwise losing 8-1 and 3-1 for a series defeat. On Tuesday versus the Mets, the Yankees staged a wild comeback attempt late but still lost 9-7. Gerrit Cole had a rough day with 4.0 innings and six earned.
Luis Gil will take the start for the Yankees on Wednesday. So far this year Gil is 9-2 with a 2.77 ERA in 15 starts. Over his career Gil is 10-3 with a 3.06 ERA in 22 starts total.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley in their last set. New York lost 8-1 on Saturday, bookended by wins 11-1 and 5-2 as they took the series. On Tuesday the Mets posted 12 team hits in the victory. It’ll be Sean Manaea in the starter role for the Mets on Wednesday. This year so far Manaea is 4-3 with a 4.16 ERA over 14 starts. In 210 career games (180 starts), Manaea is 69-59 with a 4.11 ERA.
Yankees vs Mets Pick Injury Notes
Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) expects to be out for around four weeks.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five night games.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five home games.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last six home games.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs.
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Mets as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Mets.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Mets.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Mets. Manaea hasn’t been too bad over his last two starts. In that pair he’s got four earned runs on six hits and four walks in 10.2 innings. As for Gil, he’s coming off a rough showing versus the Orioles, taking the loss on 1.1 innings, seven earned, eight hits and two walks.
On Tuesday the Mets had a great day on offense, stomping all over Cole for a nice win. The bullpen had a rough time in the eighth inning though, thanks mostly to an Aaron Judge grand slam. I could see the Yankees striking back and evening the series here, but I’m still leaning Mets.