| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 86-63 | 70-79 |
| Spread | -1.5 123 | +1.5 -149 |
| Moneyline | -136 | +113 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-104) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota | |
| When | Monday, September 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 70-79 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL Central. They have a 39-36 home record and are coming off a 2-9 home loss against the Guardians. They will face the Angels and the Giants next.
The Minnesota Twins have a .244 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Luke Keaschall is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 86, while Kody Clemens adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Dean Kremer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 3-5 record, 5.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 86-63 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 44-31 away record and are coming off a 2-0 home win against the Mets. They will face the Dbacks and the Rays next.
The New York Yankees have a .235 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Cody Bellinger is the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. Ben Rice leads the team in RBI with 90 and adds a team-high 38 home runs.
Will Warren (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 10-6 record, 4.05 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: September 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Dean Kremer Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 5.65
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Yankees: 2-0
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have won each of their last nine Monday night home games against AL opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Monday home games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren Record this season: 10-6 ERA: 4.05
- Road Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Twins: 1-0
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost each of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 night games against the Twins.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games at Target Field.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Twins’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last four games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances at Target Field.
- Dean Kremer has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents .
- Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
- Austin Martin has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Jones has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against AL opponents.
- Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Luis Garcia ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.69).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (745).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (552).
Yankees vs Twins Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Yankees have won their last two visits in Minnesota.
In this Yankees vs Twins Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -135 road favorites. I like the Yankees in this one, as Warren has been the better pitching option than Kremer and he is in far better form, with just two earned runs across his last three starts. On the flip side, Kremer has given up 4+ runs in each of his last three home starts and has a 5.20 home ERA, while the Twins average just 2.7 runs in their last 5 games, while the Yankees average 5.7 and have the second-best bullpen in baseball. Take the Yankees to win.