| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 60-52 | 55-55 |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Sunday, August 3, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | YES | |
In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 3, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (60-51, 26-29 Away) lost a series to the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies but answered with a win over the Tampa Bay Rays. Following a tight 13-12 defeat to the Marlins in Game 1 of the current series, the Yankees failed to score in a 2-0 loss last night. Cam Schlittler took the loss after allowing two runs on four hits with six strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Yankees average 5.24 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .254/.332/.453 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 4.04 ERA (17th) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .342 batting average, 37 home runs, and 85 RBI this season.
Luis Gil will take the mound for the Yankees on Sunday. The 27-year-old right-hander is coming from a 60-day IL and will make his first start of the season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (54-55, 26-29 Home) defeated the Kansas City Royals, San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers, and St. Louis Cardinals to open the second half of the season, and they will add another series win after a couple of victories over the Yankees. In Saturday’s 2-0 victory, rookie catcher Agustin Ramirez hit a couple of solo homers to lead the offense, while Eury Perez got the win after allowing no runs on two hits with five strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Marlins average 4.31 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .253/.315/.395 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 4.43 ERA (24th) and 1.31 WHIP (21st). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .293 batting average, 24 home runs, and 67 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Edward Cabrera, who is 4-5 in 18 starts this season, with a 3.35 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 94.0 innings.
Why the Marlins will beat the Yankees
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have lost 12 of their last 15 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last 10 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last four home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Yankees’ last seven day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 7th in the league for strikeouts against this season (862).
- The Marlins rank T24th in the league for walks this season (326).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.451).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (419).
Yankees vs Marlins Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Marlins were better in the last three duels. I am backing the Marlins to add another W and sweep the Yankees, mainly because of a fantastic Edward Cabrera, who has been impressive since May. Cabrera allowed more than two runs only once in his previous 11 starts and finished July with a 2.43 ERA. Luis Gil, on the other hand, will definitely be rusty after spending an extended time on IL, and I am not sure how many innings he will be able to produce on Sunday. Miami is in excellent form, and I am backing the hosts to complete the sweep.