New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 10/10/24

In this article we will formulate a New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, October 10th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game four in the ALDS, we will examine:

• The Yankees recent form and recent player performance 
• The Royals recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City
• Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Kansas City
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Kansas City

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees come into this matchup with a 2-1 lead in the series and they will look to close out the Royals with a win here. New York won game one by a score of 6-5 and they also won game three by a score of 3-2 on Wednesday. In game three, the Yankees jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but needed a late home run from Stanton for the win. Prior to the postseason, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Orioles, and swept the Athletics. 

The New York pitching staff had a 3.74 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average in the regular season. The Yankees offense scored 815 runs with a .248 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this year. Aaron Judge hit .322 with 58 home runs and 144 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals come into this game needing a win to keep their season alive, after they lost 3-2 in game three on Wednesday. The Royals did win game two in New York by a score of 4-2. Kansas City has hit the ball better in this series, but their offense has been horrible at scoring runs over the last month. Prior to this series, the Royals swept the Orioles in the Wild Card round by scores of 1-0 and 2-1. 

The Kansas City pitching staff had a 3.76 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this year. The Royals offense scored 735 runs with a .248 batting average and a .306 on base percentage in the regular season. Bobby Witt hit .332 with 32 home runs and 109 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who allowed four runs (three earned) and seven hits over five innings of work in game one of this series. Cole had allowed a total of one earned run in his previous two starts (15.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who allowed three earned runs and four hits over four innings of work in game one on Saturday. Wacha also allowed three earned runs to the Nationals in his last regular season start. 

Why the Royals will beat the Yankees

• The Royals have won each of their last five playoff games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Royals following a win.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night playoff games following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Royals’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Yankees and Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in each of his four previous home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in four of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 15 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his seven previous playoff appearances as starting pitcher.
• Michael Wacha has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his 15 previous appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
• Juan Soto has scored a run in each of his last five road playoff appearances.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
• DJ LeMahieu has recorded a hit in each of his last nine appearances in night playoff games.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.701) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kansas City Royals rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (35).
• The Kansas City Royals rank 28th in the league for walks this season (429).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (815).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for RBI’s this season (782).

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

New York comes into this game looking to close out the series, but the Royals have been great at home all season and will have Wacha on the mound. Kansas City is 12-5 in Wacha’s last 17 starts. The Yankees are going with Gerrit Cole, who has had another great season, but did struggle against the Royals in game one. I think the Royals have at least one good performance left and I like them to get the win with Wacha on the mound here. 

David Racey's Pick: Royals ML