Detroit Tigers (5-4) vs New York Yankees (6-3)
Game Info: Monday, April 7, 2025 at 3:10 pm (Comerica Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +130 / New York Yankees -155 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article we will formulate a New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 7th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 6-3 this year after they won two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 9-4, 10-4, and 4-5. In that game three loss, the Yankees trailed 4-1 in the ninth inning, but they were able to tie the game at four, before losing in the 11th inning. New York recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Grisham, who went 2-5 with two RBIs in the loss. The Yankees started Warren, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings pitched, while Williams allowed one unearned run and one hit over 0.1 innings in the loss.
Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and swept the Brewers in three games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 76 runs with a .285 batting average and a .365 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with six home runs and 17 RBIs, while Anthony Volpe has added four home runs and 12 RBIs on the year. New York is starting Carlos Rodon, who is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 5-4 this season after they swept the White Sox in three games by scores of 7-4, 7-2, and 4-3. In that game three win, Detroit really struggled to get anything going offensively and they trailed 3-1 headed into the ninth, but they scored three runs in the final inning for the win. The Tigers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-5 with two RBIs and had the walk-off hit. Detroit started Jobe, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Brebbia pitched a solid ninth inning for the win.
Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Mariners and were swept by the Dodgers in three games. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and a .200 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 45 runs with a .269 batting average and a .357 on base percentage this season. Kerry Carpenter has led Detroit with three home runs and eight RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added two home runs and six RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP over 5.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Yankees
- The Tigers have won each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Yankees will beat the Tigers
- The Yankees have won each of their last eight night games at Comerica Park following a road loss.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road favorites against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Yankees following a win.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Yankees and Tigers at Comerica Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six night games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in three of his four previous home appearances against the Yankees.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Tigers’ last six home games against AL opponents.
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Riley Greene has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games as underdogs against AL opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
- Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as road favorites.
New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series after picking up a series win over the weekend, but the Tigers will be at home. The Yankees have one of the highest scoring lineups in the MLB so far this year, but Detroit is one of the toughest places to hit and Mize was very good in his first start. Detroit has actually been better than expected at the plate and they will face Rodon, who has been solid in two starts.
Update – I originally like the under in this matchup, as I do like both starting pitchers, but it looks like there’s going to be a decent wind blowing out of Comerica Park for the majority of the game, so I am taking the over here.